We've been hearing a lot about the horrible housing market for sometime now. In fact, it's hard to get away from it. Television, radio, magazines, newspapers, candidate speeches - it's all over the place.
Livingston County finished 2007 with November and December reporting more sales than the same two months in 2006. As of today, (January 21, 2008), it looks like January could do the same. At this time in 2007, there were 59 sales, today we had 74. That's a pretty good increase.
It's also interesting to note that the Days on Market (DOM) went down from 169 in 2007 to 130 for the same period this year (1/1 - 1/21). Another great indicator is that about 25% of these sales were at list price or above as opposed to 17% in 2007.
We also had more homes sell within 90 days for this time period, 43 sales or 58% vs. 18 sales or 30% in 2007.
It looks like buyers have finally figured out that they can't just lowball their way to a great home. That works some of the time with some properties, but it's important to determine any property's TRUE VALUE. There are some deals in the market, but there are precious few steals.
TRUE VALUE takes into account the declining prices. It's not unusual to have buyers getting homes cheaper than the price the seller paid for it two, three or four years ago. When you find that house that you really want, have your Realtor(R) assist you in determining its market value, then go for it!
Showing posts with label Market Statistics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Market Statistics. Show all posts
Tuesday, January 22, 2008
Sunday, January 20, 2008
2007 Washtenaw County Housing Market Report
Year-end information for Washtenaw County home sales is now available.
Home sales dropped in number for 2007 when compared to 2006, dropping from 3,345 to 3,062 (or 8%) and condominium sales dropped from 761 in 2006 to 660 (13%) in 2007.
Sales volume (total dollar value of all sales) on houses went from $866,132,966 in 2006 to $766,375,165 - an 11.5% drop. In the condominium category, volume dropped from $135,160,039 to $119,784,350 - an 11.3% drop.
There was a 4% increase in 'fall throughs', homes under contract that never reached closing for one reason or another, and withdrawals from the MLS increased over 9% compared to 2006 (6,083 in 2006 vs. 6,652 in 2007).
Based on information from the Ann Arbor Area Board of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service for 2007.
Home sales dropped in number for 2007 when compared to 2006, dropping from 3,345 to 3,062 (or 8%) and condominium sales dropped from 761 in 2006 to 660 (13%) in 2007.
Sales volume (total dollar value of all sales) on houses went from $866,132,966 in 2006 to $766,375,165 - an 11.5% drop. In the condominium category, volume dropped from $135,160,039 to $119,784,350 - an 11.3% drop.
There was a 4% increase in 'fall throughs', homes under contract that never reached closing for one reason or another, and withdrawals from the MLS increased over 9% compared to 2006 (6,083 in 2006 vs. 6,652 in 2007).
Based on information from the Ann Arbor Area Board of REALTORS® Multiple Listing Service for 2007.
Sunday, January 13, 2008
December 2007 and Year-End Market Report
(c) 2008, Robert Smith
Analyzing data released by the RealComp multi-list system to its members, it appears that Livingston County finished 2007 with an small upswing.
While homes (single-family houses and condominiums) on the market were down by almost 7% from the same period in 2006 (419 homes vs. 450), total listings on the market, which includes vacant land, multi-family and commercial listings, were dead even (4698 for 2007 vs. 4695 in 2006).
In December, there was a slight rebound in both the average and median sale prices. While these are only good as a larger view, it's encouraging to see increases at the end of the year in these indicators. Comparing 2007 to 2006, the median price showed an overall drop of 8.6% from $215,667 in 2006 to $197,195 in 2007.
Houses fell from $218,900 median sale price in 2006 to $190,000 in 2007, and condominiums took a much larger hit, going from $155,000 in 2006 to $104,000 in 2007. Vacant land prices also fell dramatically, but on a significantly smaller sales (dollar) volume. This is probably due to the massive decrease in new home construction.
Another postiive indicator was in the monthly residential sales totals. Both November and December 2007 showed increases vs. the same two months in 2006, 145 in Nov 2007 vs. 130 in 2006 and 135 sales in Dec 2007 vs. 125 in 2006. The year finished with a 10.4% drop in total residential sales. The sales volume (total dollar value of all sales) fell 19.1% in this last calendar year.
We saw a lot of value drop in this last year. My personal opinion is that we'll see another 6% loss in value in calendar year 2008 in the County. In addition to more foreclosures coming into the market, tightening credit, increased scrutiny by lenders and more rigid borrower requirements may make home loans difficult to obtain for many potential buyers, even though the overall interest rates remain very good.
If you absolutely, positively have to sell your home now or at any point in 2008 be prepared to take a lot less than your last refinance or mortgage appraisal value. I'm sorry, but there it is. A full-time local Realtor that keeps their eye on market conditions in the various Livingston County home market areas (Cities, Villages, Townships and School Districts) and price ranges will be your best bet to maximize your selling price.
Buyers are poised to find some value in this market providing that they can meet the tougher new lender requirements to obtain financing. It's still possible to get 100% financing through FHA loans, but almost all other loan types are going to require some money out of your pocket. As home values continue to fall, this buyer's market will persist through 2008.
Analyzing data released by the RealComp multi-list system to its members, it appears that Livingston County finished 2007 with an small upswing.
While homes (single-family houses and condominiums) on the market were down by almost 7% from the same period in 2006 (419 homes vs. 450), total listings on the market, which includes vacant land, multi-family and commercial listings, were dead even (4698 for 2007 vs. 4695 in 2006).
In December, there was a slight rebound in both the average and median sale prices. While these are only good as a larger view, it's encouraging to see increases at the end of the year in these indicators. Comparing 2007 to 2006, the median price showed an overall drop of 8.6% from $215,667 in 2006 to $197,195 in 2007.
Houses fell from $218,900 median sale price in 2006 to $190,000 in 2007, and condominiums took a much larger hit, going from $155,000 in 2006 to $104,000 in 2007. Vacant land prices also fell dramatically, but on a significantly smaller sales (dollar) volume. This is probably due to the massive decrease in new home construction.
Another postiive indicator was in the monthly residential sales totals. Both November and December 2007 showed increases vs. the same two months in 2006, 145 in Nov 2007 vs. 130 in 2006 and 135 sales in Dec 2007 vs. 125 in 2006. The year finished with a 10.4% drop in total residential sales. The sales volume (total dollar value of all sales) fell 19.1% in this last calendar year.
We saw a lot of value drop in this last year. My personal opinion is that we'll see another 6% loss in value in calendar year 2008 in the County. In addition to more foreclosures coming into the market, tightening credit, increased scrutiny by lenders and more rigid borrower requirements may make home loans difficult to obtain for many potential buyers, even though the overall interest rates remain very good.
If you absolutely, positively have to sell your home now or at any point in 2008 be prepared to take a lot less than your last refinance or mortgage appraisal value. I'm sorry, but there it is. A full-time local Realtor that keeps their eye on market conditions in the various Livingston County home market areas (Cities, Villages, Townships and School Districts) and price ranges will be your best bet to maximize your selling price.
Buyers are poised to find some value in this market providing that they can meet the tougher new lender requirements to obtain financing. It's still possible to get 100% financing through FHA loans, but almost all other loan types are going to require some money out of your pocket. As home values continue to fall, this buyer's market will persist through 2008.
Monday, December 17, 2007
November 2007 Market Report-Livingston County
Last month's data from our MLS, RealComp, is now available.
Comparing 2007 to 2006 YTD as of November 30th, there are currently 3081 residential listings (homes and condominiums) compared to 2983 last year, or 3.2% more homes on the market.
The number of sales has dropped 11.7%, 1607 for this year as compared to 1819 last year, but the sales volume (total price of the cumulative sales) has dropped by a larger 20.2 %. Days On Market (a measure of how long it takes to sell a home) has risen by 12 days (or 8.8%) from 137.9 days last year to 150.1 days on market this year.
Individual price ranges are seeing different levels of activity. The price ranges that have seen the most sales YTD (with at least $40 million in volume) are the $200,000-$249,999 range (340 sales) and the $150,000-$174,999 range (246 sales). I believe that the former represents move-up opportunities for young families, and the latter is representative of first-time buyers getting into their own home. Three (3) homes have sold for 1 million dollars or more in the County so far this year.
Geographically, Hamburg, Green Oak and Genoa Townships have the most YTD sales and sales volumes with the reporting year almost over. Hamburg Township has been the fastest growing Township in the County for many years running. Livingston County remains Michigan's fastest growing County.
Most borrowers are financing via conventional mortgages, with some cash sales reported, too. FHA, land contracts and VA financing are far behind in numbers.
Comparing 2007 to 2006 YTD as of November 30th, there are currently 3081 residential listings (homes and condominiums) compared to 2983 last year, or 3.2% more homes on the market.
The number of sales has dropped 11.7%, 1607 for this year as compared to 1819 last year, but the sales volume (total price of the cumulative sales) has dropped by a larger 20.2 %. Days On Market (a measure of how long it takes to sell a home) has risen by 12 days (or 8.8%) from 137.9 days last year to 150.1 days on market this year.
Individual price ranges are seeing different levels of activity. The price ranges that have seen the most sales YTD (with at least $40 million in volume) are the $200,000-$249,999 range (340 sales) and the $150,000-$174,999 range (246 sales). I believe that the former represents move-up opportunities for young families, and the latter is representative of first-time buyers getting into their own home. Three (3) homes have sold for 1 million dollars or more in the County so far this year.
Geographically, Hamburg, Green Oak and Genoa Townships have the most YTD sales and sales volumes with the reporting year almost over. Hamburg Township has been the fastest growing Township in the County for many years running. Livingston County remains Michigan's fastest growing County.
Most borrowers are financing via conventional mortgages, with some cash sales reported, too. FHA, land contracts and VA financing are far behind in numbers.
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