We’ve all heard some recurring sound bites about this year’s housing market in SE Michigan and especially in Livingston County. Inventory and time on market are down, average and median sales prices are up, and the total number of sales is up.
While I am a very active listing agent, I also work with buyers. And I know from my experience as well as discussions with other agents that it’s difficult to find a financeable house in the $125,000 and under price range. If you do find a house that’s ‘ready to go’ you can be sure there will be multiple offers. If it needs some work, it likely won’t qualify for government loan programs – FHA and USDA Rural Development. And of course, these are the programs that many people need to enter the housing market.
Instead of repeating this past month’s stats, I delved into the difference between the kinds of loan instrument used for January through September 2011 vs. the same period in 2012. Here’s what I found.
Cash sales went up only nominally YTD. They represented a little over 23% of total sales in 2011 and are a little over 24% in 2012. Since cash purchasers come largely from investor-owners, is this showing us that investor action is leveling off? Hard to say, but certainly the lower inventory likely has a role to play in this market segment.
Conventional mortgage sales went up from 34.4% YTD in 2011 to 37.45% YTD in 2012. With mortgage rates at an almost ridiculous historic low I would have expected more of this type of sale, but first-time buyers usually don’t qualify for a conventional mortgage, so they likely have little representation in this segment.
All FHA loan sales (includes the FHA 203K renovation program) dropped from 24.61% in 2011 to 21.5% this year. And the USDA Rural Development program loan sales went up slightly from 7.5% of all sales in 2011 to 8.58% in 2012. When you combine the FHA and USDA RD programs, my stats show that they were a combined 32.12% of sales in 2011 and represent a lower 30.1% usage in 2012. So at least in this market, closings with government loans are down on a percentage basis.
My personal experience with FHA and Rural Development buyers has been that the properties appraise at a value of or above their sale price, but the underwriters for government loans are being very, very picky, in some cases bordering on the insane. I know that there are a lot of buyers out there that are pre-qualified for these programs, but finding a home that is in financeable condition is tough. And banks have been slow to correct the deficiencies needed for the financing of foreclosure properties, even if it’s only a few thousand dollars in repairs.
If you’re considering a home sale or purchase, please call me for a confidential meeting to discuss your goals. I’d love to help you with your real estate needs. Let me put my market knowledge to work for you.
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